FNUS72 KJAX 011113 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW FIRE...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 713 AM EDT SUN AUG 1 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0650 EDT ON AUGUST 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS... ALTHOUGH NOT AS OPPRESSIVE AS THE PAST WEEK...WITH FORECAST HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. TODAY...THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN QUITE MOIST AND UNSTABLE AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE ATLANTIC SEA-BREEZE ADVANCES INLAND. A WEAK STEERING FLOW MAY PUSH INLAND STORMS BACK TOWARDS THE COAST. MONDAY...DRIER AIR IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE ALONG WITH WEAKER DYNAMICS...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FORECAST. WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH...EXCEPT LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY NOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. LAL.................2 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....41. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........47 64 68 68 61 68 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHS CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 84 89 91 92 91 RH..............92 88 73 66 63 66 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 5 S 6 S 6 S 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 1900 2700 2700 3600 3600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 SE 2 S 9 S 9 SW 12 SW 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 50 50 50 LAL.............2 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1100 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....3. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........68 54 54 54 39 39 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............89 86 83 82 81 81 RH..............69 76 81 84 86 88 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 7 S 7 S 6 S 3 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 2800 2800 1500 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 LVORI...........6 6 6 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 20 20 20 20 20 LAL.............3 3 3 3 2 2 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-3800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....41. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...ZAPPE REQUESTED BY...MIKE HOUSH TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100801.WILLO.01/JAX