FNUS75 KGJT 022130
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEADOW CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
330 PM MDT MON AUG 2 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1459 MDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AS
ABUNDANT MONSOONAL MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE REGION. WEAK WINDS
ALOFT WILL RESULT IN SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAPID SURFACE RUN-OFF DOWN SLOPES AND CANYONS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2100...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 3-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR AWAY FROM SHOWERS AND STORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH BECOMING TERRAIN-DRIVEN AFTER 2200.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-47%.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN-DRIVEN 3-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-7 MPH
                    AFTER 1100. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR BECOMING GOOD BY 2000.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 MPH AFTER 1200.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH BECOMING TERRAIN-DRIVEN AFTER
                    2200.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...AMY HAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100802.MEADO.01/GJT