FNUS72 KMFL 021919
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR ISLAND WF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
319 PM EDT MON AUG 2 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR ISLAND WF...BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
316 PM EDT MON AUG 2 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1459 EDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA
WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT NORTH THROUGH TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL
RESULT
IN LIGHT SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS OVER THE REGION RESULTING IN
POOR
TO FAIR DISPERSION INDICES TODAY. BY TUESDAY, EASTERLY FLOW WILL
BEGIN
TO ESTABLISH ITSELF OVER THE AREA RESULTING IN LIGHT TO MODERATE
TRANSPORT
WINDS AND SLIGHTLY BETTER DISPERSION CONDITIONS, BUT STILL RANGING
FROM
POOR TO FAIR TO GENERALLY GOOD. AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONCENTRATED OVER THE INTERIOR AND WESTERN
AREAS
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE AT 3 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 DECREASING TO 1 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........80     80     58     28     20     20
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY SCHC   SCHC   SCHC   SCHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............89     84     78     76     75     73
RH..............59     72     88     94     97     100
20 FT WIND......E 3    S 2    S 2    E 2    NE 2   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 3    S 2    S 2    E 2    NE 2   NE 2
EYE LEVEL WIND..5
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   3100   3100   1600   200    200
MIXNG WIND......E 3    S 2    S 2    E 2    NE 2   NE 2
DISPERSION IDX..11     1      1      1      1      1
LVORI...........2      6      6      8      10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     20     20     20     20     10
LAL.............4      3      3      1      1      1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 99.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3 TO 8
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....1 INCREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 52 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.

$$
FORECASTER...RADER
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN LOGIUDICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE

$$

REQUESTED BY...KEVIN LOGIUDICE
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE