FNAK79 PAFG 041354
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
554 AM AKDT WED AUG 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2112 AKDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SLOWLY MOVING EAST WILL GIVE WAY TO LOW
PRESSURE MOVING EAST FROM BRISTOL BAY. AIR MASS WILL DESTABILIZE OVER
CENTRAL ALASKA AND ALLOW FOR POSSIBLE CONVECTION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 11 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...FREEMAN
REQUESTED BY...TED PIERCE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100803.501PA.01/AFG