FNUS74 KLZK 041331
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR AFC561...AFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
831 AM CDT WED AUG 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY...
...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THROUGH THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
HOT TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER HAVE RESULTED IN DECREASED FUEL
MOISTURE LEVELS. THOUGH WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT...HOT
TEMPERATURES...LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS...AND LOW
FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS ARE RESULTING IN AN ELEVATED FIRE RISK THROUGH
THURSDAY.  PRECIP CHANCES WILL BE VERY MINIMAL TODAY...THOUGH A
VERY ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT. PLEASE
SEE THE FIRE DANGER STATEMENT ISSUED BY OUR OFFICE FOR INFORMATION
ON THE ELEVATED FIRE DANGER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
                    TEMPERATURE.........92 AT IGNITION...MAX 105.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 7200 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....1.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............92  96  100 102 103 103 104 103
RH..............57  49  43  40  38  38  37  38
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   3   3   4   4   4   3   3
EYE LVL WND GST.3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....80.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
STABILITY CLASS.....6.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............101 99  95  92  90  88  87  86  85  84  84  83
RH..............40  42  48  54  59  63  66  70  72  74  75  77
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   9
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...R SIMPSON
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT REED
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100804.AFC56.01/LZK