FNUS72 KMFL 041202
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOFFMAN WF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
802 AM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOFFMAN WF...NPS BIG CYPRESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1200 EDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA
INTO THE ATLANTIC THROUGH THURSDAY. PLENTY OF TROPICAL MOISTURE
EXISTS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY WITH THE STEERING FLOW OUT OF
THE EAST. THUS, SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP OVER INTERIOR SOUTH FLORIDA BY LATE THIS MORNING AND
THEN MOVE TOWARDS THE FIRE SITE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DURING THE
PAST 24 HOURS, THE MORE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OCCURRED ABOUT 10 TO
20 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE WILDFIRE WITH DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATING
LESS THAN ONE QUARTER INCH ON THE FIRE ITSELF. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT IS VERY WEAK AT LOW LEVELS AND DISPERSION WILL BE POOR TO
FAIR TODAY AND POOR TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE
                    CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 19 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 19 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM
SKY (%).........49     70     70     70     70     51
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............94     96     95     87     82     77
RH..............51     48     49     63     74     87
20 FT WIND......E 2    E 2    E 2    SE 2   S 1    S 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 2    E 2    E 2    SE 2   S 1    S 1
EYE LEVEL WIND..5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....5000   5500   5500   4500   2400   2400
MIXNG WIND......E 5    E 3    E 3    E 3    E 1    E 1
DISPERSION IDX..32     23     23     19     1      1
LVORI...........1      2      2      2      6      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).70     70     70     70     40     40
LAL.............2      4      4      4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 0 TO 3 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....19 DECREASING TO 1 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............6.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 0 TO 3 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...JILL WAISLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE

$$

REQUESTED BY...JILL WAISLEY
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE