FNUS76 KMFR 042243
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUTCH...ORCA IMT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
343 PM PDT WED AUG 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1425 PDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL BRING A MORE
SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE FIRE ARE PM THURSDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO AN
INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES AND THE
SISKIYOUS...WITH THE MOST UNSTABLE AIR MASS MORE TO THE NORTHEAST
IN THE SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES. A STRONGER TROUGH WILL APPROACH
THE FIRE AREA FRIDAY. THIS WILL TRIM TEMPERATURES BACK CLOSER TO
NORMAL BUT BRING AN INCREASED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT. A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE WEST
COAST WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO AT LEAST EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....UPSLOPE WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN TRANSITIONING
                    TO DOWNSLOPE WIND 0 TO 2 MPH OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING THEN
                    BECOMING EAST 2 TO 4 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-99.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-17 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....UPSLOPE WIND 2 TO 4 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 8 MPH
                    AFTER 1400.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WIND 2 TO 3 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    WEST 3 TO 5 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN NORTHWEST 6 TO
                    8 MPH TOWARD THE EVENING.

.OUTLOOK...

.FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING
                    THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-95 FRIDAY...85-87 SATURDAY.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-21 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SLOPE DRIVEN WINDS FRIDAY 2 TO 4 MPH.
                    STRONGER WINDS SATURDAY...SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH WITH
                    GUST TO 9 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON FRIDAY.
                    STRONGER WINDS SATURDAY...WEST-NORTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...FBAN ZIEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100804.DUTCH.01/MFR