FNAK79 PAFG 061516
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
716 AM AKDT FRI AUG 6 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2209 AKDT ON AUGUST 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN JUST NORTH OF THE FIRE THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN VERY WEAK UNTIL SUNDAY
NIGHT...WHEN INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT SPREAD OVER THE FIRE.
THE AIR MASS OVER THE FIRE WILL REMAIN UNSTABLE TODAY AND SATURDAY.
ON SUNDAY IT WILL BECOME STABLE. THE LARGE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE IN
THE AIR MASS ASSURES THAT THERE WILL BE NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS TODAY
AND SATURDAY. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES AROUND THE FIRE REACHED CLOSE TO
80 DEGREES ON THURSDAY...THE EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER WILL SUPPRESS
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG.
                    RAIN LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 4 AM.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 17 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG. RAIN
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL BY 2 PM.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
NEAR 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FATHAUER
REQUESTED BY...JAMES HIGGINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100805.501PA.01/AFG