FNUS72 KJAX 051617
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 20 BUCKSKIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1217 PM EDT THU AUG 5 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON AUGUST 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH THE MOST COVERAGE OVER INLAND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS OVER THE AREA FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AS A
COLD FRONT STALLS OVER SOUTH GEORGIA. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN
WELL ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES. WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH...
EXCEPT LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

ANY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT THIS TIME WILL LIKELY SHIFT TOWARD THE
SOUTH WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...THEN EVENTUALLY
SOUTHEASTERLY BY LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH...THEN SOUTHEAST.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........58     70     70
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............90     92     91
RH..............60     55     57
20 FT WIND......S 6    SSE 8  SE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     11     12
MIX HGT (FT)....3700   5400   5400
TRANSPORT WIND..SSE 8  S 9    S 9
DISPERSION INDX.36     40     40
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     40     40
LAL.............3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........64     59     59     52     44     44
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP............88     83     80     79     77     76
RH..............63     73     80     85     88     92
20 FT WIND......S 7    S 6    S 3    S 1    S 0    S 0
20 FT WIND GUST.11     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....3600   1600   1600   900    200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..S 9    S 8    S 8    S 5    S 2    S 2
LVORI...........7      7      7      7      7      7
DISPERSION INDX.32     5      4      2      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     30     30     30     10     10
LAL.............3      3      3      3      1      1

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO NEAR 4400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....27.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100805.COMP2.01/JAX