FNUS72 KMFL 051329
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOFFMAN WF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
929 AM EDT THU AUG 5 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOFFMAN WF...NPS BIG CYPRESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
927 AM EDT THU AUG 5 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO THE NORTH NEAR
LAKE OKEECHOBEE THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN LIGHT WINDS
AT THE FIRE SITE WITH POOR DISPERSION TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLENTY OF
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE PERSISTS TODAY AND SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP ACROSS INTERIOR
SOUTH FLORIDA LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON AND MOVE WEST
AT AROUND 5 MPH. THERE WERE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS CONVECTIVE CELLS
YESTERDAY AFTERNOON BUT IT IS RATHER DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE
WHETHER OR NOT IT ACTUALLY RAINED ON THE FIRE SITE. USING THE
COORDINATES PROVIDED, RADAR ESTIMATES THAT LESS THAN ONE QUARTER
INCH FELL ON THE FIRE BUT LESS THAN FIVE MILES TO THE SOUTH OVER
AN INCH IS ESTIMATED. SO IT IS LIKELY THAT AT LEAST SOME RAIN WAS
OBSERVED LATE YESTERDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE
                    CLOUDINESS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......MISSING.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1600...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 3 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....0 INCREASING TO 12 LATE IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............5.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1600...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 3 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........10     28     52     70     70     70
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............83     91     95     96     90     84
RH..............65     56     49     48     58     70
20 FT WIND......NE 0   E 1    E 1    SE 2   S 2    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.                     5
EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 0   E 1    E 1    SE 2   S 2    S 2
EYE LEVEL WIND..                     5
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   5000   5000   5000   4500   4500
MIXNG WIND......NE 0   E 1    E 1    SE 3   S 2    S 2
DISPERSION IDX..0      10     10     13     10     10
LVORI...........4      2      2      2      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).M      M      M      M      M      60
LAL.............2      2      2      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 2 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 DECREASING TO 0 LATE IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............6.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 2 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...JILL WAISLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE

$$

REQUESTED BY...JILL WAISLEY
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE