FNAK79 PAFG 071524
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
724 AM AKDT SAT AUG 7 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2112 AKDT ON AUGUST 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE AIR MASS OVER THE FIRE HAS STABILIZED OVER THE PAST 36 HOURS...
BUT THERE IS STILL A CHANCE OF SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS. THE REAL
CHANGE IN THE OUTLOOK IS THE ONSET OF SOUTH WINDS OVER THE ALASKA RANGE
STARTING LATE SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER STARTING
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S ARE A GOOD BET...BUT THE 80S ARE
OUT OF REACH. THE MILDER AND DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO HOLD THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. IF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS AND HOLDS OVER
SOUTHEAST ALASKA THEN A FURTHER RISE IN TEMPERATURES SHOULD FOLLOW
IN THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THIS IS STILL TOO EARLY TO TELL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1500 FT AGL AT 8 AM RISING TO 9000 FT BY 4PM.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 19 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 700-1200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 11 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 11 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FATHAUER
REQUESTED BY...JAMES SULLIVAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100806.WILLO.03/AFG