FNAK79 PAFG 081513
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
713 AM AKDT SUN AUG 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1833 AKDT ON AUGUST 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE AIR MASS OVER THE FIRE IS SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE THIS MORNING...BUT
NOT UNSTABLE ENOUGH FOR THUNDERSTORMS. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT
WILL SLOWLY BEGIN BUILDING TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE FIRE ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE LIGHT SOUTH WINDS TO BEGIN OVER THE ALASKA
RANGE TO THE FIRE. THIS PATTERN WILL STRENGTHEN STARTING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WHICH SHOULD BRING FURTHER WARMING AND DRYING IN THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FATHAUER
REQUESTED BY...STEVE THEISEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100807.501PA.01/AFG