FNAK79 PAFG 081525
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
725 AM AKDT SUN AUG 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1822 AKDT ON AUGUST 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE AIR MASS OVER THE FIRE IS SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE THIS MORNING...BUT
NOT UNSTABLE ENOUGH FOR THUNDERSTORMS. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT
WILL SLOWLY BEGIN BUILDING TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE FIRE ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE LIGHT SOUTH WINDS TO BEGIN OVER THE ALASKA
RANGE TO THE FIRE. THIS PATTERN WILL STRENGTHEN STARTING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WHICH SHOULD BRING FURTHER WARMING AND DRYING IN THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) AFTER NOON. A THIN LAYER
                    OF SMOKE AND FOG UNTIL 10 AM. SOME AREAS OF
                    SMOKE REMAINING THE REST OF THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2 AM.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 48.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 47. HIGHS NEAR 74. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 48. HIGHS NEAR 76. AFTERNOON WINDS
SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FATHAUER
REQUESTED BY...JAMES SULLIVAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100807.WILLO.02/AFG