FNUS73 KMQT 071237 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR M 2 POOL NOTH RX...USFWS SENEY NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 837 AM EDT SAT AUG 7 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON AUGUST 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WITH WARMER AIR STARTING TO RETURN TODAY AS A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM SHIFTS TOWARD THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. A DISTURBANCE MOVING EAST FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL BRING THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. THE HUMIDITY WILL ALSO RETURN TONIGHT AND LAST THROUGH NEXT WEEK. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL ALSO RETURN WITH CHANCE FOR RAIN ALMOST EVERY DAY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73 AT IGNITION...MAX 79. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST BY LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 4 TO 9 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (485) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (485) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (863) IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3100-4400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5700-7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........31 34 36 42 48 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............68 76 77 77 76 RH..............61 45 45 50 59 GENERAL WIND....SW 7 SW 7 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 GENERAL GUST....15 15 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.307 686 835 696 593 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 5700 7000 6300 4900 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 60. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (25) DECREASING TO POOR (0) BY MIDNIGHT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0200...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1300 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........49 55 63 70 70 70 WEATHER COV..... LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............76 70 65 63 62 60 RH..............62 76 89 94 100 100 GENERAL WIND....S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 GENERAL GUST....5 5 5 5 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100.510 138 0 25 23 14 MIX HGT (FT)....3900 1300 BLW100 300 300 200 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 78. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 78 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING CALM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 13 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 4 TO 12 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (509). LAL.................3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1800-3400 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....1.62 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........70 70 70 70 64 56 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............63 69 75 77 77 77 RH..............100 91 79 80 78 80 GENERAL WIND....S 6 S 6 S 7 SE 5 SE 5 SE 3 GENERAL GUST....10 10 10 10 10 5 VINDX KT-FT/100.20 136 342 509 363 148 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1100 2300 3200 3300 2500 $$ FORECASTER...KC REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100807.M2POO.01/MQT