FNAK79 PAFG 091538
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
738 AM AKDT MON AUG 9 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1807 AKDT ON AUGUST 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BE BUILDING OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF
ALASKA STARTING WEDNESDAY BUT IS NOT EXPECTED TO DO SO ENOUGH TO
BRING SIGNIFICANT SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE ALASKA RANGE INTO THE
EST INTERIOR. THUS...TEMPERATURES AT THE FIRE ARE NOT FORECAST TO
GO BEYOND THE MID 70S THIS WEEK. STATEWIDE...A PATTERN OF COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY CLOUDY WEATHER IN THE WEST AND PARTLY
CLOUDY WEATHER WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE EAST SHOULD
SETTLE IN THIS WEEK. MOST OF THE RAINFALL IN THE INTERIOR THIS
WEEK WILL BE WEST OF THE FIRE.

THE AIR MASS OVER NORTHERN ALASKA IS ONLY SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE THIS
MORNING...MAINLY SO OVER THE SOUTH SLOPES OF THE BROOKS RANGE. THE
UPSHOT IS NO CHANCE OF LIGHTNING AT THE FIRE TODAY...AND VERY
LITTLE IF ANY TOMORROW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING
                    TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45 TO 55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...FATHAUER
REQUESTED BY...STEVE THEISEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100808.501PA.01/AFG