FNUS72 KJAX 081051
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CENTRAL WILLOW FIRE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
651 AM EDT SUN AUG 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0638 EDT ON AUGUST 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SHIFT SOUTH ACROSS NORTHEAST
FLORIDA TODAY. DRIER AIR ALOFT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA RESULTING
IN WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL
VALUES. WINDS BE FROM THE NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-4100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 12
                    TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....56.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LVORI...............MISSING.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........56     54     54     53     52     52
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............79     82     86     88     88     88
RH..............92     90     77     69     66     68
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 6    NE 8   NE 10  NE 14  NE 13
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   1700   2700   2700   4100   4100
TRANSPORT WIND..N 9    NE 12  NE 14  NE 14  NE 15  E 15
LVORI...........M      M      M      M      M      M
DISPERSION INDX.6      8      19     42     56     56
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     30     30     30
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1700 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........43     35     35     28     20     20
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............86     84     83     82     81     81
RH..............70     76     79     81     83     84
20 FT WIND......NE 9   E 8    NE 7   NE 7   NE 6   NE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3800   1700   1700   1100   400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 14   E 12   E 12   NE 8   NE 8   NE 8
LVORI...........5      5      5      5      5      5
DISPERSION INDX.50     25     25     4      4      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............3      1      1      1      1      1

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-3800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....69.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............MISSING.

$$
FORECASTER...ZIBURA
REQUESTED BY...MIRANDA STUART
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100808.CENTR.01/JAX