FNAK79 PAFG 111419
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
619 AM AKDT WED AUG 11 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1829 AKDT ON AUGUST 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER WESTERN ALASKA IS CREATING
MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE INTERIOR WHICH WILL PROVIDE CLOUDY
SKIES MUCH OF THE TIME THROUGH THURSDAY. A WEAKLY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE
WILL PRODUCE ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. LITTLE IF ANY RAIN IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WILL NOT DROP
TOO LOW IN THIS MOIST PATTERN. WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE SOUTHWEST
AND BE A LITTLE LIGHTER THURSDAY AS A THERMAL TROUGH JUST NORTH OF
THE FIRE DRIFTS FARTHER NORTH. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT UPPER
LEVELS OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN WILL BUILD NORTH OVER THE WEEKEND
BRINGING WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS TO THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS DIMINISHING TO 3 TO 6 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................4 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LINGAAS
REQUESTED BY...TIM EPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100810.501PA.01/AFG