FNUS72 KJAX 101150
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CENTRAL WILLOW FIRE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
750 AM EDT TUE AUG 10 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0730 EDT ON AUGUST 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED. WITH A MOIST ONSHORE FLOW SHOWERS MAY BEGIN IN THE
MORNING THEN SPREAD INLAND LEAVING CUMBERLAND ISLAND DRY LATER
TODAY. INCREASING EASTERLY WINDS WILL GUST TO 20 MPH OR HIGHER
THIS AFTERNOON.

WILL DO OUR BEST TO DETECT LIGHTNING EARLY BUT USUALLY CANNOT BE
SURE UNTIL AFTER THE FIRST STRIKE SHOWS ON THE SATELLITE DETECTION
SYSTEM.

THE FORMATTER FOR THIS PROGRAM AUTOMATICALLY SETS THE 2-HOURLY
INCREMENTS AND WOULD HAVE TO WAIT ANOTHER HALF HOUR FOR EVEN
NUMBER HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
            POSSIBLE BY LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 24
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....65.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........41     59     59     53     61
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............85     88     89     89     87
RH..............80     70     66     67     70
20 FT WIND......SE 12  E 15   E 16   E 16   E 15
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....1900   3000   4000   4000   4000
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15  SE 21  SE 24  SE 24  SE 23
LAL.............2      2      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........61     65     65     62     59     59
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............86     84     83     82     81     81
RH..............70     76     79     81     82     84
20 FT WIND......E 14   SE 12  SE 10  SE 10  SE 9   SE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     15     15     15
LAL.............2      2      2      2      2      2

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0800...THEN 1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 13 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....59.

$$
FORECASTER...TRABERT
REQUESTED BY...MIRANDA STUART
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100810.CENTR.01/JAX