FNUS75 KRIW 102201 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR RED CABIN...BLM WOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 401 PM MDT TUE AUG 10 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1524 MDT ON AUGUST 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORM OVER THE FIRE AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. GUSTY OUTFLOWS TO 40 MPH AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. EAST SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES ARE EXPECTED AS WELL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WILL SEE THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM THREAT INCREASE THURSDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES AND MOVES THROUGH. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AS WELL THROUGH THIS PERIOD...INCREASING THE THE FIRE WEATHER DANGER WHEN COMBINED WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE TEENS. A COLD FRONT WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORM PASSING THURSDAY EVENING WITH MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR MOVING IN. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...LIPSON .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-57. MAX HUMIDITY........48-51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BY MIDNIGHT WITH WINDS GRADUALLY DECREASING TO 3 TO 5 MPH BY 0300. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. CWR.................3 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-8300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3600-4500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (113200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR (55500 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....87. MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH BACKING TO THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 7 MPH BY 0900. WINDS VEERING AND INCREASING TO 10 TO 18 MPH FROM THE WEST SOUTHWEST BY 1400 ALONG WITH A FEW GUSTS OF 25 MPH. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. CWR.................ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-7600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12300-13300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (110100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (246500 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...NOT AS WARM. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...LIPSON REQUESTED BY...CODY DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100810.REDCA.03/RIW