FNAK79 PAFG 121415
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
615 AM AKDT THU AUG 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1845 AKDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC OCEAN
AND A LOW OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA IS PROVIDING SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE
INTERIOR INCLUDING THE FIRE AREA. A WEATHER DISTURBANCE IN THIS FLOW
WILL MOVE OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR SOMEWHAT SOUTH OF THE FORE AREA
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. WHILE THE FIRE AREA IS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF
THE INFLUENCE OF THE FEATURE...SOME SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY. AFTER THAT THE RIDGE OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC OCEAN WILL
BUILD STRONGLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND OVER INTERIOR ALASKA. CLOUDS WILL
DECREASE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH DRY AND MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY. THE STRONG RIDGE WILL HELP STABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE AND
PREVENT MOST THUNDERSTORM FORMATION THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WIND 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 13 MPH.
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LINGAAS
REQUESTED BY...TIM EPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100811.501PA.01/AFG