FNAK79 PAFG 121358
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
558 AM AKDT THU AUG 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1855 AKDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC OCEAN
AND A LOW OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA IS PROVIDING SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE
INTERIOR INCLUDING THE FIRE AREA. A WEATHER DISTURBANCE IN THIS FLOW
WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING
A PERIOD OF RAIN OR FREQUENT SHOWERS TO THE FIRE AREA LATER TONIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING. AFTER THAT THE RIDGE OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC
OCEAN WILL BUILD STRONGLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND OVER INTERIOR ALASKA.
CLOUDS WILL DECREASE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH DRY AND MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS
ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE STRONG RIDGE WILL PRODUCE STABLE
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WHICH WILL INHIBIT THUNDERSTORM FORMATION
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG. PERIODS
                    OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................17 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS DIMINISHING
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
CWR.................11 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SUNDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LINGAAS
REQUESTED BY...AMBER SUNDERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100811.WILLO.03/AFG