FNUS72 KJAX 111047
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CENTRAL WILLOW FIRE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
647 AM EDT WED AUG 11 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0639 EDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.
ONSHORE WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH TODAY.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....57.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........39     60     60     59     62     62
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............80     83     86     88     89     88
RH..............85     83     73     67     65     68
20 FT WIND......SE 9   SE 10  SE 12  SE 14  SE 15  SE 16
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....1400   2200   3100   3100   4100   4100
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 13  SE 14  SE 18  SE 18  SE 21  SE 21
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........55     48     48     48     58     58
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............86     83     81     80     79     79
RH..............71     79     84     88     90     92
20 FT WIND......SE 15  SE 13  S 12   S 9    S 8    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     15     10     10
LAL.............2      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33.

$$
FORECASTER...SHULER
REQUESTED BY...MIRANDA STUART
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100811.CENTR.01/JAX