FNUS75 KGJT 130052
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCKHORN ROAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
652 PM MDT THU AUG 12 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

...FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT...

DISCUSSION...AT 1800 A DRY COLD FRONT WAS DRAPED FROM SW UTAH INTO
THE NW CORNER OF COLORADO. THIS FRONT WILL WEAKEN AS IT SAGS SOUTH
AND EAST. IT WILL PASS OVER THE BURN SITE AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
THE SURFACE-BASED INVERSION WILL SET UP WITH SUNSET...BUT WIND GUSTS
WITH THE FRONT MAY DISRUPT THE INVERSION. MUCH DRIER AIR IS WORKING
IN AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT THERE IS SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED THUNDERSHOWER THIS EVENING. THE RADAR
SHOWS NO THREATENING STORMS AT 1840 HOURS. GUSTY WINDS AND ANY
SHOWERS WILL END AFTER MIDNIGHT. A DRY SOUTHWEST-WEST FLOW IS IN
STORE FOR FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

FOR TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.............BREEZY TO WINDY WITH AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
                        THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE UNTIL 0100. THEN
                        CLEARING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50F
                    HUMIDITY........MAX 50-55%
   20-FT WINDS..........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 MPH GUSTS 30 MPH...
                        DIMINISHING TO 8-12 MPH BY 2000. GUSTS
                        OF 25-35 MPH POSSIBLE 2300-0100 HOURS.
                        THEN DIMINISHING TO DOWNSLOPE/DOWN VALLEY
                        2-5 MPH.
LAL...................2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT....... ..18,000 FT AGL AT 2000...LOWERING TO
                        3,000 FT BY 0100...1000 FT BY 0300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 UNTIL 0100...THEN WEST 10
                        MPH TRANSITIONING TO DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE UNTIL 2400...THEN 4 LOW.

OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW
SKY/WEATHER.............CLEAR AND DRY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-83F
                    HUMIDITY........MIN 20-25%
   20-FT WINDS..........AFTER 0900 LIGHT AND VARIABLE. AFTER 1200
                        NORTHWEST 3-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT....... ..MAX OF 8000 FT AGL
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

FORECASTER...JOE
.TAG 20100812.BUCKH.03/GJT

$$

REQUESTED BY...RANDY CHAPPELL
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE