FNUS74 KLZK 121133 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR RAINY CREEK MTN...U.S.FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 633 AM CDT THU AUG 12 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0625 CDT ON AUGUST 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ONCE AGAIN AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. THERE WILL BE AN ELEVATED WILDFIRE RISK ACROSS SOME LOCATIONS OF AR DUE TO THE HOT TEMPERATURES AND LACK OF RAINFALL....AS WELL AS WITH SOME DRIER AIR MIXING DOWN FROM ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGHEST WILDFIRE DANGER EXISTS IN THE OUACHITA NATIONAL FOREST REGION OF CENTRAL AND WRN AR...WHICH IS ALSO THE REGION OF THE STATE WITH THE LOWEST FORECAST RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON. MIN RH VALUES WILL DROP BELOW 40 PERCENT ACROSS THIS REGION OF THE STATE. THE WINDS HOWEVER WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT...GENERALLY AT LESS THAN 10 MPH AND VARIABLE IN DIRECTION. THERE WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE STATE THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WHICH WILL PROVIDE SOME RELIEF TO THE LOW FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS. HOWEVER...COVERAGE WILL REMAIN ISOLATED. BETTER...MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH ACROSS THE STATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........74 AT REQUEST...MAX 100. MIN HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 38 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 2 TO 7 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 7800 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....1. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 1 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............74 78 82 85 89 95 97 98 98 98 98 98 RH..............88 84 76 69 62 55 48 43 40 38 39 42 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..1 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.3 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.E NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 3 3 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....76. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3900 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....6. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV.....ISO WEATHER TYPE....TSM TEMP............96 94 90 87 85 84 83 81 81 80 79 79 RH..............42 47 54 61 67 70 72 75 76 77 78 78 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE EYE LVL WND SPD.2 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 10 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....99. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 7300 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....1. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............78 78 82 85 89 92 94 96 97 98 98 97 RH..............79 80 74 68 62 55 48 43 41 39 39 40 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E SE SE S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 1 1 2 2 3 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE E SE SE S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.0 0 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 EYE LVL WND GST.0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...62 REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100812.RAINY.01/LZK