FNAK79 PAFG 151437
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
637 AM AKDT SUN AUG 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1649 AKDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING AN UNSEASONABLY WARM DAY
TO THE FIRE TODAY.  AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN THIS EVENING
A DISTURBANCE MAY TOUCH OFF AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. THERE WILL
BE THE CHANCE OF A PERIOD OF RAIN LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...BUT THE CHANCE OF A WETTING RAIN LOOKS SLIM. TEMPERATURES
ON MONDAY WILL COOL JUST SLIGHTLY...BUT COOLER WEATHER ALONG WITH
A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER
TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING EAST AND
                    INCREASING TO 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-70 PERCENT) IN THE EVENING...
                    THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 6 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING INTO THE WEST
                    BY MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (40-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING INTO THE EAST
                    AFTER NOON.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH...SHIFTING INTO THE EAST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...AMBER SUNDERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100814.501PA.01/AFG