FNAK79 PAFG 152036
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 635 CANVASBACK LAKE...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1236 PM AKDT SUN AUG 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2112 AKDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
EAST WINDS OF 15 MPH GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING.
HUMIDITY WILL DROP BELOW 30% THIS AFTERNOON TO CAUSE RED FLAG
CONDITIONS. THE HUMIDITY WILL RISE AND THE WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS
EVENING ENDING THE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BRING AN UNSEASONABLY WARM
DAY TO THE FIRE TODAY.  AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO RETREAT INTO CANADA THIS
EVENING A WEAK DISTURBANCE MAY TOUCH OFF AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM.
TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL BE A LITTLE COOLER...BUT STILL WELL ABOVE
NORMAL FOR THE MIDDLE OF AUGUST. COOLER AND WETTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 15 MPH GUSTING TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST WINDS 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-50 PERCENT) IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT (65-90 PERCENT). AN
                    ISOLATED EVENING THUNDERSTORM. A CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 15 MPH GUSTING TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS NEAR EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
                    WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING INTO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AND DIMINISHING TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    IN THE MORNING. PARTLY SUNNY (30-60 PERCENT)
                    AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING INTO THE NORTHEAST LATE
                    IN THE DAY.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS
AROUND 70. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON POE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100814.635CA.01/AFG