FNAK79 PAFG 152029
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHITANATALA  222...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1229 PM AKDT SUN AUG 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2115 AKDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
EAST WINDS OF 15 MPH GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING.
HUMIDITY WILL DROP BELOW 30% THIS AFTERNOON TO CAUSE RED FLAG
CONDITIONS. THE HUMIDITY WILL RISE AND THE WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS
EVENING ENDING THE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN TODAY. A DISTURBANCE
MAY TOUCH OFF AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM FROM AROUND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH 10 PM THIS EVENING.  THERE WILL ALSO BE THE CHANCE OF A
BRIEF PERIOD OF RAIN LATE TONIGHT...BUT THE CHANCE OF A WETTING
RAIN LOOKS TO BE SLIM. THE WEATHER PATTERN BECOMES COOLER AND
UNSETTLED MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH THE CHANCE OF RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-40 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING
                    WITH INCREASING CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON
                    (50-75 PERCENT). AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
                    POSSIBLE AFTER 1600.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...THEN 2 AFTER 1600.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-95 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 15G25 MPH SHIFTING TO WEST 15 MPH BY 8PM
                    AND DECREASING  TO WEST 5 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 800 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 20 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 MPH BY 8PM.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING EAST IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
NEAR 60. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON POE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100814.CHITA.01/AFG