FNUS71 KBUF 142351 FWSBUF SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIAN PIPE FIRE...NYS DEC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 751 PM EDT SAT AUG 14 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1945 EDT ON AUGUST 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SOUTHERLY FLOW OF VERY HUMID AIR AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONT WILL BRING AN INCREASING THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO WESTERN NEW YORK TONIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH SOME HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE. DRIER AIR WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT ON MONDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE LEADING TO GENERALLY DRY AND PLEASANTLY WARM WEATHER THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES AFTER MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 24 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSION....MIN 20 (POOR). TIME (EDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............43 47 48 51 54 57 60 61 63 66 70 WEATHER COV......... CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW TEMP................75 72 70 68 67 66 65 65 65 65 64 MIN HUMIDITY........64 73 80 86 89 91 92 92 93 94 95 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......9 9 10 12 13 12 12 10 10 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 SMK DISPERSION......95 90 80 69 57 45 35 27 23 20 20 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 26 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSION....MAX 74 (GOOD). TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............73 76 78 79 81 83 84 86 87 88 91 93 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP................64 65 66 69 71 74 76 78 79 79 79 79 MIN HUMIDITY........97 94 89 83 77 71 66 63 62 64 65 66 20 FT WIND DIR......SE S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......13 13 13 14 14 14 14 15 15 14 14 13 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 SMK DISPERSION......20 23 27 33 41 50 59 67 73 74 72 69 $$ FORECASTER...JJR REQUESTED BY...RANGER L EVANS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100814.INDIA.01/BUF