FNUS76 KMFR 151845
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK FLAT...TYPE 3 IMT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1145 AM PDT SUN AUG 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1723 PDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
INCREASING SUNSHINE THIS AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY
SUCH THAT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CONFLICTING INFLUENCES MAKE PINNING DOWN TIMING
AND COVERAGE DIFFICULT...BUT UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS BECOMING LESS
FAVORABLE WITH TIME MEANS THAT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE UNLIKELY IN
THE FIRE AREA TODAY...AND MORE LIKELY FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST.


.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHEAST WIND 1-3 MPH WITH GUSTS 3-5 MPH.
                    WIND BECOMING NORTHWEST 1-3 MPH IN THE
                    MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS 10 TO 15 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED IN AND NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100814.OAKFL.01/MFR