FNAK79 PAFG 151824
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1024 AM AKDT SUN AUG 15 2010

UPDATES WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0917 AKDT ON AUGUST 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BRING NEAR RECORD HEAT TO
THE FIRE TODAY. AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN THIS EVENING
A DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST MAY TOUCH OFF AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM. TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL COOL SLIGHTLY...BUT COOLER
WEATHER ALONG WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN WILL OCCUR ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7-10 MPH INCREASING TO 10G20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 16 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS (60 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10G20 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST
                    10G15 MPH IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 MPH IN THE EVENING.


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (55 PERCENT) BY NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON POE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100815.WILLO.01/AFG