FNUS75 KBOU 151500 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BOSWELL WF...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 900 AM MDT SUN AUG 15 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AS WELL AS OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT. THE THREAT OF STORMS WILL END BY MIDNIGHT WITH GRADUALLY CLEARING SKIES. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE DIURNAL IN NATURE. ON MONDAY...ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY THE AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE STORMS WILL BE EAST OF THE AREA...A STORM OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT OVER THE BURN SITE. AGAIN...GUSTY WINDS AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORMS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-77. MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTHWEST 8-13 MPH. GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THE STORMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10200-11200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45. MAX HUMIDITY........75-80%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THE STORMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHEAST. MIXING HEIGHT.......10600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75. MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN WEST 4-8 MPH. GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THE STORMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9000-10000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BOSWELL. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/15-08 41 3 49 73 SW 3 1 741 S 5 2877 P 08/15-09 41 3 56 57 SW 3 3 3 1 W41 1024 SW 5 3984 P 08/15-10 41 3 61 48 W 3 1 3861 SW 9 56843 F 08/15-11 41 3 65 42 W 5 1 6698 W 15 109702 V 08/15-12 51 7 68 38 W 5 5 3 1 W37 9535 W 20 162561 E 08/15-13 51 7 70 35 W 6 1 10237 W 20 171464 E 08/15-14 51 7 72 33 NW 6 1 10940 W 20 180366 E 08/15-15 51 10 73 31 NW 7 7 3 2 W29 11642 W 18 189268 E 08/15-16 51 10 74 26 NW 7 2 11275 W 17 168292 E 08/15-17 51 10 73 23 NW 8 2 10909 W 15 147317 V 08/15-18 37 10 72 21 NW 8 13 3 2 W24 10542 W 14 126341 V 08/15-19 37 10 69 23 N 8 2 7662 NW 13 89105 G 08/15-20 37 10 66 28 N 8 2 4782 N 10 51869 F 08/15-21 37 10 63 35 NE 7 7 3 2 W28 1903 NE 9 14633 P 08/15-22 37 10 57 48 E 7 2 1407 E 9 11031 P 08/15-23 37 10 55 60 E 6 2 912 E 10 7429 P 08/16-00 39 5 53 71 SE 6 6 3 1 W33 416 SE 10 3828 P 08/16-01 39 5 51 77 SE 6 1 344 SE 9 2882 P 08/16-02 39 5 50 79 SE 5 1 272 SE 7 1937 P 08/16-03 39 5 49 79 SE 5 5 3 1 W35 201 S 6 992 P 08/16-04 39 5 48 80 S 5 1 186 S 6 895 P 08/16-05 39 5 47 80 S 5 1 171 S 6 798 P 08/16-06 39 20 47 79 S 5 5 3 1 W35 156 S 6 701 P 08/16-07 39 20 49 74 S 5 1 442 S 6 2221 P 08/16-08 39 20 53 66 S 6 1 728 S 6 3740 P 08/16-09 46 20 57 58 S 6 6 3 1 W31 1014 S 6 5260 P 08/16-10 46 20 61 48 S 5 1 3784 SW 9 42551 F 08/16-11 46 20 65 39 SE 3 1 6555 SW 12 79842 G 08/16-12 57 20 68 34 SE 3 3 3 3 W35 9326 W 15 117134 V 08/16-13 57 20 69 33 S 5 3 9629 W 17 143247 V 08/16-14 57 20 70 34 SW 7 3 9932 W 20 169360 E 08/16-15 57 20 69 35 W 8 8 2 3 W37 10235 W 22 195474 E 08/16-16 57 20 69 36 W 8 3 9493 W 20 167475 E 08/16-17 57 20 68 37 SW 8 3 8752 W 18 139476 V 08/16-18 59 20 66 39 SW 7 7 3 3 W22 8010 W 16 111477 V 08/16-19 59 20 66 39 SW 6 3 6170 W 12 76488 G 08/16-20 59 20 62 45 S 6 3 4331 NW 7 41499 F 08/16-21 59 20 58 53 SE 5 5 3 3 W37 2491 NW 3 6509 P 08/16-22 59 20 55 60 SE 5 3 1801 N 3 4909 P 08/16-23 59 20 52 67 SE 5 3 1110 E 5 3308 P 08/17-00 39 17 50 73 SE 5 5 3 1 W31 420 E 5 1708 P 08/17-01 39 17 47 78 SE 5 1 352 SE 6 1527 P 08/17-02 39 17 46 82 SE 5 1 284 SE 6 1346 P 08/17-03 39 17 44 86 SE 5 5 3 1 W36 217 S 6 1165 P 08/17-04 39 17 43 90 S 5 1 203 S 6 1037 P 08/17-05 39 17 41 93 S 5 1 190 S 6 909 P 08/17-06 32 1 43 87 S 5 5 3 1 W26 176 S 5 781 P 08/17-07 32 1 44 84 S 5 1 472 S 6 2786 P 08/17-08 32 1 50 68 SW 6 1 767 SW 7 4790 P 08/17-09 32 1 56 55 SW 6 6 3 1 W29 1062 W 7 6795 P 08/17-10 32 1 61 47 SW 7 1 4196 W 10 59075 F 08/17-11 32 1 64 41 W 7 1 7330 W 15 111356 V 08/17-12 49 20 67 38 W 8 8 3 3 W25 10465 W 18 163636 E 08/17-13 49 20 69 34 W 9 3 11061 W 18 172871 E 08/17-14 49 20 70 32 W 9 3 11657 W 18 182106 E 08/17-15 49 20 72 30 W 9 14 3 3 W23 12253 W 18 191341 E 08/17-16 49 20 72 29 W 9 3 11538 W 18 183262 E 08/17-17 49 20 71 30 W 8 3 10822 W 18 175184 E 08/17-18 49 20 70 31 W 7 7 2 3 NW28 10107 W 20 167105 E 08/17-19 49 20 67 35 W 6 3 6853 W 15 111917 V 08/17-20 49 20 63 41 S 6 3 3599 SW 9 56729 F 08/17-21 49 20 59 48 S 5 5 2 3 NW32 345 SW 5 1541 P 08/17-22 49 5 57 53 S 5 1 306 SW 6 1481 P 08/17-23 49 5 55 60 S 5 1 266 S 6 1422 P 08/18-00 23 5 51 68 S 5 5 2 1 W33 226 S 7 1362 P 08/18-01 23 5 48 76 S 5 1 214 S 7 1314 P 08/18-02 23 5 45 80 S 6 1 201 S 7 1266 P 08/18-03 23 5 45 82 S 6 6 3 1 W44 189 S 7 1218 P 08/18-04 23 5 44 86 S 6 1 181 S 7 1162 P 08/18-05 23 5 43 92 S 6 1 173 SW 7 1106 P 08/18-06 23 5 44 94 SW 6 6 3 1 W38 165 SW 7 1049 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...RUSSELL DAWDY REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100815.BOSWE.01/BOU