FNUS74 KEPZ 151607
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR LOWER INDIAN RX...NM-LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1007 AM MDT SUN AUG 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1010 MDT ON AUGUST 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER MEXICO THIS WEEK BUT WITH
REDUCED AMPLITUDE...THUS ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE COMING WEEK. A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE IN COMBINATION
WITH A WEAK BACKDOOR COOL FRONT (STAYING MORE TO THE EAST NORTHEAST
OF THE AREA WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SOMEWHAT THIS
EVENING AND AGAIN MONDAY EVENING ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF ZONE 112 AND 113...WITH STORMS BECOMING MORE ISOLATED TO WIDELY
SCATTERED BY MIDWEEK.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (126000 KNOT-FT).


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (44400 KNOT-FT).


$$
FORECASTER...NOVLAN
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100815.LOWER.01/EPZ