FNUS75 KGJT 160045
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LION CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
645 PM MDT SUN AUG 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1734 MDT ON AUGUST 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER SURGE OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL WORK NORTHWARD INTO
SOUTHEAST UTAH AND SOUTHWEST COLORADO LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. THIS
WILL BRING A RETURN OF SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MONDAY.  THIS SURGE WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS DRYER AIR PUNCHES BACK
INTO THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66%.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH BY 2100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR BY 2300.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL IN THE BY 2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.MONAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH BY 1200. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH...BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH BY 2100. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR BY 2300.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 10 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-86 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH BY 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOODBY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...TROYE FLOYD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100815.LIONC.01/GJT