FNAK79 PAFG 171315
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
515 AM AKDT TUE AUG 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1851 AKDT ON AUGUST 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL
INTERIOR BY LATE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL SET UP A COOLER AND
UNSETTLED PATTERN THIS EVENING AND WEDNESDAY WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS. THERE IS THE CHANCE OF A PERIOD OF RAIN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING AS THE LOW EXITS INTO CANADA.
IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    DURING THE AFTERNOON. ERRATIC AND GUSTY
                    WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL RISING TO 5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-46.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO AROUND 2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 12 TO 16 MPH.
                    GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 65.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. LOWS NEAR 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL/BERG
REQUESTED BY...MIKE BUTTERI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100816.501PA.01/AFG