FNUS75 KRIW 171208
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR BULL...IA TDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
608 AM MDT TUE AUG 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1752 MDT ON AUGUST 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

IN WAKE OF A DISTURBANCE YESTERDAY...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE FIRE SITE TODAY. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MIDDAY...BECOMING A TAD BREEZY BY MID TO
LATE THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ON RIDGE TOPS AND EXPOSED AREAS
WITH A WESTERN EXPOSURE. ANOTHER WEAK STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE
AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...RESULTING IN WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY. SOUTHWEST TO
WEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGER WEDNESDAY COMPARED TO WHAT
OCCURS TODAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MURRELL

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-6 MPH BECOMING WEST SOUTHWEST
                    4-7 MPH AROUND NOON...INCREASING TO 5-10 MPH
                    AROUND 1500. GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST 4-8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST BETWEEN 1000
                    AND NOON...THEN WEST 10-15 MPH BY AROUND 1400. GUSTS
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH BETWEEN 1000 AND NOON...THEN
                    WEST AROUND 15 MPH BY 1400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10 PERCENT)...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (40 PERCENT) AFTER 0300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 4-8 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    3-6 MPH BY 2100. GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    5 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL
                    BY MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    5 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR BY 2100.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-6 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    8-12 MPH BETWEEN NOON AND 1400. GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST
WINDS 10-15 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MURRELL
REQUESTED BY...KINGS PEAK WFM
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100816.BULL_.01/RIW