FNUS75 KGJT 172145
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LION CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
345 PM MDT TUE AUG 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1521 MDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CUMULUS BUILDUPS OVER THE LA SAL MOUNTAINS AND HIGHER
TERRAIN WILL PERSIST UNTIL SUNSET. A SHORT-LIVED THUNDERSTORM IS
POSSIBLE. LOSS OF HEATING THIS EVENING WILL RESULT IN RAPID
STABILIZATION.  THE NEXT MONSOONAL MOISTURE SURGE BEGINS WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
                    POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPCANYON 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) WITH AN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE UNTIL 2000...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON 3-5 MPH
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON 3-5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON 3-5 MPH SHIFTING BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPCANYON 5 MPH BY 1200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500-4900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (127700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12800 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...RANDY CHAPPELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100817.LIONC.01/GJT