FNUS73 KMQT 171337 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR F POOL PLUS...USFWS SENEY NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 937 AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON AUGUST 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...IT WILL GENERALLY BE MOSTLY SUNNY ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN TODAY. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL TOWARDS 30 PERCENT OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN. IT IS POSSIBLE RELATIVE HUMIDITY COULD FALL LOWER THAN REFLECTED IN THIS FORECAST IF EVEN DRIER AIR ALOFT IS MIXED DOWN THIS AFTERNOON. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS SHOULD GUST TO 15 TO 25 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH MID AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE IN THE DAY. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT MAY BRING A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO FAR NORTHWEST UPPER MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT. AS THE COLD FRONT DRIFTS SOUTHEAST...EXPECT AN INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....66 AT IGNITION...MAX 70. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH AT IGNITION...SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 11 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 35 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 15 TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (475) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1490) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1490) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1508) IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (889) EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5200-6000 FT AGL. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........50 48 24 10 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............66 69 70 69 RH..............50 44 42 43 GENERAL WIND....NW 14 NW 12 NW 12 W 9 GENERAL GUST....25 25 25 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.1490 1413 1281 1049 MIX HGT (FT)....6000 5900 5800 5500 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 52. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH BY LATE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 43 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (205) DECREASING TO POOR (10) BY LATE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1700 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........13 12 12 16 26 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............67 61 56 55 54 53 RH..............49 63 78 85 94 100 GENERAL WIND....W 6 W 6 SW 5 S 6 S 6 S 7 GENERAL GUST....10 10 10 10 10 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.690 205 10 40 45 44 MIX HGT (FT)....4600 1700 100 300 200 200 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 81. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 45 MPH DECREASING TO 17 TO 33 MPH BY LATE MORNING. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (449) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1346). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-5900 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.03 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........52 58 62 66 71 76 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............57 66 75 79 80 79 RH..............91 74 60 56 56 58 GENERAL WIND....SW 9 SW 9 SW 11 SW 11 SW 11 SW 8 GENERAL GUST....20 20 25 25 25 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.80 267 449 812 1304 1165 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1200 2200 3400 5400 5300 $$ FORECASTER...MICHELS REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100817.FPOOL.01/MQT