FNAK79 PAFG 191535
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
735 AM AKDT THU AUG 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2012 AKDT ON AUGUST 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALASKA MAINLAND WILL
HOLD THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A BAND OF CLOUDS EXTENDING FROM
GREAT SLAVE LAKE RUNS WEST THROUGH THE UPPER YUKON VALLEY OVER THE
FIRE AND UP TO THE CENTRAL BROOKS RANGE THIS MORNING. EASTERLY FLOW
ALONG THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO BRING SOME LIGHT RAIN TO THE FIRE
FOR THE NEXT 2 DAYS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING OVER WESTERN
ALASKA STARTING SUNDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL THEN DEVELOP OVER
THE ALASKA MAINLAND...AND BRING SUNNY BUT COOL WEATHER TO THE FIRE
BY TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATE RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FATHAUER
REQUESTED BY...KILGRIFF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100818.501PA.01/AFG