FNUS75 KGJT 182132
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LION CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
332 PM MDT WED AUG 18 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1511 MDT ON AUGUST 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS MOVING OVER SOUTH-
EASTERN UTAH THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO WESTERN
COLORADO DURING THE EVENING HOURS. NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
FIRED UP IN RESPONSE ACROSS THE WILDFIRE AREA PRODUCING
BRIEF...HEAVY RAINFALL... FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND STRONG SURFACE
WINDS UP TO 50 MPH. BY NIGHTFALL MOST THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE
ENDED BUT SHOWERS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER THE WILDFIRE. ANOTHER
ROUND OF CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TOMORROW AS A TROUGH MOVES IN
FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS
EXPECTED.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (40-80%). NUMEROUS
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. NUMEROUS SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT. NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD DECREASING TO POOR IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2.
LAL.................5.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (40-80%). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3.
LAL.................4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...TROYE FLOYD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100818.LIONC.01/GJT