FNUS73 KGRR 181259
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR HKBB...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
859 AM EDT WED AUG 18 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EDT ON AUGUST 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL
GIVE US A PLEASANT DAY TODAY WITH SKIES CLEARING EARLY FROM NORTH
TO SOUTH. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 80. A COLD FRONT WILL
DROP SLOWLY SOUTH FROM THE UPPER PENINSULA TONIGHT AND ACROSS
LOWER MICHIGAN BY THURSDAY NIGHT. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT NORTH OF INTERSTATE
96...THEN ACROSS ALL OF LOWER MICHIGAN THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. IT
WILL BE A BIT MORE HUMID THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
80S EACH DAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
                    TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 81.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT AROUND 1700.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5000-5500
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 600-1000
                    (EXCELLENT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-300 (POOR TO FAIR).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6500-7000 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO 700-1100 (EXCELLENT).

$$
FORECASTER...JERUZAL
REQUESTED BY...KORY BORGMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100818.HKBB_.01/GRR