FNUS74 KLZK 181201 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR HANNA 2...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 701 AM CDT WED AUG 18 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0637 CDT ON AUGUST 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS WILL INTERACT WITH REMNANT TROPICAL SYSTEM FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOST...IF NOT ALL...OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL STAY WELL EAST OF THE BURN SITE. HOWEVER SOME HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS DO SHOW A FEW ISOLATED STORMS DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE STATE. FOR THAT REASON...HAVE LEFT A 15-20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AS FAR WEST AS THE BURN SITE. PRECIP CHANCES FOR THE BURN SITE ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE LESS THAN 15 PERCENT. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL RISE GRADUALLY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS GULF MOISTURE BEGINS TO RETURN. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL INCREASE BACK TO THE UPPER 90S BY FRIDAY...WITH HEAT INDICES OF 100 TO 105 DEGREES AGAIN. RH RECOVERIES WILL BE PRETTY GOOD THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH MAX RH VALUES BACK WELL INTO THE UPPER 90S. MIN RH VALUES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO THE UPPER 40S BY THE WEEKEND AS WELL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........76 AT REQUEST...MAX 95. MIN HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 45 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE THROUGH MID MORNING... THEN LIGHT NORTHEAST FROM LATE MORNING ONWARD. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTH 3 TO 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6300 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....1. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 1 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............76 78 82 85 88 90 92 93 94 94 94 93 RH..............94 93 91 73 65 59 55 52 48 45 46 51 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE N N NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE NE NE N N NE NE NE NE NE EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW W W W NW NW NW N N N NE TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 6 5 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....73. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3200 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............91 86 81 79 77 76 RH..............50 63 74 80 84 85 20 FT WIND......NE 6 NE 5 NE 5 E 3 E 3 NE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE E E NE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 3 3 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 3 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E SE SE S S TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....96. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 2 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 8100 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....1. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 82 91 95 RH..............86 69 52 46 20 FT WIND......NE 3G5 NE 2 E 2 E 2G5 EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE E E EYE LVL WND SPD.2 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.3 0 0 3 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W NW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 5 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100818.HANNA.01/LZK