FNUS75 KMSO 181717
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELIZABETH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1117 AM MDT WED AUG 18 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0954 PDT ON AUGUST 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL BE ENTERING FROM THE WEST THIS
AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY BUT EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON A FEW BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR BEFORE
CONVECTION BEGINS LATER. MOST OF THE ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM WILL REMAIN SOUTH AND WEST OF THE FIRE...ALTHOUGH AS
AFTERNOON INSTABILITY COMBINES WITH THIS SYSTEMS AVAILABLE
MOISTURE...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
OVER THE FIRE. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP COULD CAUSE ERRATIC GUSTY
WINDS AND ANY RAINFALL THAT THE STORMS PRODUCE COULD BE HEAVY (BUT
SHOULD REMAIN BRIEF).

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH BREAKS OF SUN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATER
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 6-8 MPH
                    LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS UNDER
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-62.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15-20 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...BECOMING CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEGRETTO
REQUESTED BY...B  LUEKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100818.ELIZA.01/MSO