FNUS73 KAPX 191331 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST WAGNER PILES...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 931 AM EDT THU AUG 19 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON AUGUST 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN IS SAGGING SOUTH THROUGH THE BURN AREA THIS MORNING. RAIN FALL OF 1.0" TO 1.5" HAVE BEEN COMMON WITH THIS LINE. WINDS SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTH RAPIDLY BEHIND THIS LINE AS THE COLD FRONT THAT IS PRODUCING THE RAIN MOVES THROUGH. BEST ESTIMATE FOR THE WIND SHIFT WILL BE BETWEEN 10 AM AND 11 AM. WINDS WILL BRIEFLY PICK UP TO ABOUT 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH...AND THEN DIMINISH TO 5 TO 10 MPH FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 77. HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........83 83 83 78 78 78 62 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............68 69 70 72 73 73 73 RH..............78 73 71 61 59 59 57 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....52. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........62 62 18 18 18 43 43 43 38 38 38 31 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............72 70 68 66 63 60 57 55 53 52 52 52 RH..............59 63 65 68 72 78 80 83 83 83 80 80 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....79. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........31 67 67 67 70 70 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............52 54 64 71 74 76 RH..............83 86 67 55 50 50 $$ FORECASTER...JEFF LUTZ REQUESTED BY...JOE ALYEA TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100819.EASTW.02/APX