FNUS73 KAPX 191301
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE TRAIL PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
901 AM EDT THU AUG 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY
RAIN IS SAGGING SOUTH THROUGH THE BURN AREA THIS MORNING. RAIN
FALL OF 1.0" TO 1.5" HAVE BEEN COMMON WITH THIS LINE. WINDS SHIFT
FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTH RAPIDLY BEHIND THIS LINE AS THE COLD
FRONT THAT IS PRODUCING THE RAIN MOVES THROUGH. BEST ESTIMATE FOR
THE WIND SHIFT WILL BE BETWEEN 10 AM AND 11 AM. WINDS WILL BRIEFLY
PICK UP TO ABOUT 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH...AND THEN DIMINISH
TO 5 TO 10 MPH FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 77.
                    HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........82  81  81  81  77  77  77  61
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............65  65  66  67  73  74  74  73
RH..............84  84  81  74  59  55  55  57

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...ANDERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100819.HORSE.01/APX