FNUS74 KBMX 191300 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR SURPRISE FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 800 AM CDT THU AUG 19 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0757 CDT ON AUGUST 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY AS A BOUNDARY SAGS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THE AREA TODAY...ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING PERIODS. OTHERWISE...THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2600 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....33 INCREASING TO 41 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 13 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............77 81 84 88 88 88 RH..............90 85 77 70 68 69 20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 2 SW 5 W 6 W 6 W 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 2100 2500 2600 2600 2500 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15 SW 14 SW 14 W 10 W 8 SW 6 DISPERSION......28 37 41 23 18 13 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........EAST 1 TO 3 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....5. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............86 79 77 76 75 74 RH..............72 91 93 93 95 98 20 FT WIND......W 2 SW 2 SW 2 SW 1 S 1 SE 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 1500 800 500 400 400 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3 S 1 S 1 E 2 E 2 NE 2 DISPERSION......9 1 1 1 1 1 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 22. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............72 73 81 88 90 91 RH..............100 100 81 66 62 61 20 FT WIND......SE 1 SE 1 SE 2 W 2 W 2 SW 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 50 50 MIX HGT (FT)....400 1700 3700 3900 4100 4500 TRANSPORT WIND..E 3 E 5 SE 3 SE 5 S 5 S 6 DISPERSION......2 10 16 22 22 23 $$ FORECASTER...LAWS REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100819.SURPR.01/BMX