FNUS74 KBMX 211210 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR SURPRISE FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 710 AM CDT SAT AUG 21 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0702 CDT ON AUGUST 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE ELEVATED ALL DAY...AND THERE ARE WETTING RAINS POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON...BUT ONLY ABOUT A 30-40 PERCENT CHANCE THIS SITE WILL SEE THEM. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE WEST. A BETTER CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-5100 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 56 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 43 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............78 81 85 90 92 92 RH..............84 80 76 63 54 55 20 FT WIND......NE 1 NE 2 N 2 NW 3 W 3 W 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 MIX HGT (FT)....900 2900 4600 5100 5100 4400 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 3 W 8 NW 10 NW 8 NW 7 NW 7 DISPERSION......2 4 56 46 41 21 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-800 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 2 TO 3 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....14 DECREASING TO 2 IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............88 82 77 75 73 73 RH..............60 77 93 96 97 97 20 FT WIND......W 2 W 2 NE 1 NE 0 NE 0 E 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 MIX HGT (FT)....2900 1400 400 300 400 300 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 6 N 5 SE 3 SE 3 S 2 S 2 DISPERSION......18 9 2 2 1 1 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-5500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 60 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 69 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 56 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............73 77 85 90 94 95 RH..............97 89 74 63 56 54 20 FT WIND......NE 0 NE 0 NE 2 N 3 NW 3 NW 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 MIX HGT (FT)....200 1500 3700 4400 5100 5500 TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 W 8 NW 10 NW 12 NW 12 N 10 DISPERSION......2 4 5 60 68 65 $$ FORECASTER...UNGER REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100821.SURPR.01/BMX