FNUS76 KPQR 220008 FWSPQR SPOT FORECAST FOR HILLTOP...WA DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 508 PM PDT SAT AUG 21 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1645 PDT ON AUGUST 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FIRE AREA ON SUNDAY...WITH SPOTTY DRIZZLE OR A LIGHT SHOWER. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CENTERED OFFSHORE WILL QUICKLY BUILD SUNDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE DEPARTING TROUGH. A SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE SOUTH AND CENTRAL COAST MONDAY. EXPECT DRY NORTH TO NORTHEAST LOW-LEVEL FLOW MONDAY...WHICH WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON HUMIDITY VALUES OF 25 PERCENT OR LESS. THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL RETREAT TO THE COASTLINE MONDAY NIGHT AND THEN DRIFT INLAND TUESDAY. THIS DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A STRONG OFFSHORE EVENT. THE BIGGER CONCERN WILL BE THE PASSAGE OF THE THERMAL TROUGH ACROSS THE FIRE AREA LATE TUESDAY. AS A RESULT...MID-LEVEL HAINES 5 TO 6 CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP TUESDAY...CREATING A MUCH MORE FAVORABLE BURNING ENVIRONMENT. LONGER RANGE MODELS HINT AT AN EARLY FALL PATTERN LATE NEXT WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND. CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN (CWR) 0.25 INCHES OR GREATER. FORECAST WINDS ARE 10 MINUTE AVERAGES 20 FT ABOVE VEGETATION. THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY IN THE MORNING WITH INTERMITTENT DRIZZLE OR A LIGHT SHOWER. BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-65. MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 1 TO 3 MPH...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-48. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH. WIND BECOMING NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH AFTER 2300. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY MORNING CLOUDS...OTHERWISE SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-77. MIN HUMIDITY........31-35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 4 TO 8 MPH BY 1300. $$ FORECASTER...COLLINS REQUESTED BY...FBAN REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100821.HILLT.01/PQR