FNUS76 KMFR 222132
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR PHOENIX...IA KIFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
232 PM PDT SUN AUG 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1350 PDT ON AUGUST 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR STRONG GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS AND
LOW HUMIDITIES IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617...621 AND 623...

.DISCUSSION...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE RAPIDLY TO NEAR NORMAL
VALUES MONDAY AND THEN 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY
AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. ALSO A
STRONG THERMAL TROUGH DEVELOPS NEAR THE COAST.  THIS WILL ALLOW
EASTERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP MONDAY AND INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY OVER THE BURN AREA. EXPECT POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERIES
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT ALONG WITH GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS.
THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL EXTEND NORTH TUESDAY NIGHT THEN MOVE
INLAND WEDNESDAY WITH EASTERLY WINDS DECREASING BUT CONTINUED
DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ONSHORE THURSDAY  LEADING TO ANOTHER
ROUND OF COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE AREA FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SOME GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
CASCADES AND JUST TO EAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH THIS FRONTAL
PASSAGE. THE FRONT ITSELF WILL BE DRY BUT SOME SHOWERS MAY
DEVELOP OVER THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING NORTH 3 TO 6 MPH
                    LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING NORTH
                    TO NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE 0 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-600 FT AGL
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                      5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING THE BECOMING NORTHEAST
                      2 TO 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT
                    AND VARIABLE 2 TO 4 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 TO 5000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING EAST 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 4 TO 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS PELLISSIER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100822.PHOEN.01/MFR