FNUS75 KMSO 231742
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALDER CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1142 AM MDT MON AUG 23 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1125 MDT ON AUGUST 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...TURNING DRIER AND HOT INTO WEDNESDAY...
...ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT DRY COLD FRONT AND WIND POSSIBLE THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO REBUILD OVER THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DRIER WESTERLY FLOW TAKING OVER.  THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL QUICKLY STABILIZE THIS EVENING.  A SIGNIFICANT
TRENT TOWARDS MUCH WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS.
OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERIES WILL ALSO BECOME INCREASINGLY POOR TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
UNSTABLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE HAINES INDEX RISING TO
A 5 OR 6 LATE. ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT DRY COLD FRONT AND WIND EVENT
IS A GOOD POSSIBILITY LATE THURSDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-6 MPH BECOMING WEST 6-8 MPH BY MID DAY.
                    FEW GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5-8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 2-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO LESS THAN 500 FT AGL SHORTLY AFTER
                    SUNSET.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH...BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 2 TO 6
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...BAUCK
REQUESTED BY...INCIDENT COMMANDER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100823.ALDER.01/MSO