FNUS73 KEAX 241251 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR SUMMER 2010 RX...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 751 AM CDT TUE AUG 24 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON AUGUST 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SURFACE COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING...INCLUDING THE SPOT FORECAST LOCATION. IN ITS WAKE...A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WERE NOTED MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND FAR NORTHEAST KANSAS. THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE BURN LOCATION THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS BY THE AFTERNOON. NEVERTHELESS...CANNOT RULE OUT A LIGHT SPRINKLE OR TWO MAKING IT SOUTHWARD TO THE BURN LOCATION THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS BUT COVERAGE SHOULD REMAIN SPOTTY. WITH THE FRONT THROUGH THE AREA...A NORTHERLY COMPONENT TO THE WIND CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS MAY TEND TO GUST TO AROUND 15 TO 20 KTS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS MIXING OCCURS TO AROUND 4-5KFT. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL AVERAGE FROM THE NORTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 7 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........63 66 68 66 64 61 56 52 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............78 79 81 82 82 83 81 80 RH..............65 62 60 57 55 52 56 59 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 13 14 14 13 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 20 20 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........50 44 18 21 17 13 11 9 4 0 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............77 73 69 67 66 65 64 63 62 62 61 61 RH..............66 72 77 80 79 79 78 78 78 78 78 77 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 10 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............60 63 67 71 74 76 79 80 80 81 80 78 RH..............76 69 59 52 46 42 39 38 37 35 37 39 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 9 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 15 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 $$ FORECASTER...DEROCHE REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100824.SUMME.01/EAX